Rate Lock Advisory

Wednesday, May 8th

Wednesday’s bond market has opened in negative territory, extending yesterday’s late weakness. Stocks are showing fairly minor losses of 15 points in the Dow and 56 points in the Nasdaq. The bond market is currently down 8/32 (4.48%), which should push this morning’s mortgage rates higher by approximately .125 of a discount point.

8/32


Bonds


30 yr - 4.48%

15


Dow


38,868

52


NASDAQ


16,280

Mortgage Rate Trend

Trailing 90 Days - National Average

  • 30 Year Fixed
  • 15 Year Fixed
  • 5/1 ARM

Indexes Affecting Rate Lock

Medium


Unknown


Fed Talk

We will only be watching a couple of Fed member speeches today and this afternoon’s results announcement of Treasury auction since there is no relevant economic data being released. There has been a pattern of afternoon weakness in bonds, leading to some lenders issuing an intraday increase to rates before closing. We do have an afternoon event taking place today to help drive bond trading, but we have to keep in mind that the overall tone during later trading has been negative this week.

Medium


Unknown


Treasury Auctions (5,7,10,20,30 year)

10-year Treasury Notes are being sold today, followed by 30-year Bonds tomorrow. If these sales are met with a strong demand from investors, we could see bond prices rise enough during afternoon trading, causing downward revisions to mortgage rates. However, lackluster bidding in the sales, meaning longer-term securities are losing their appeal, could lead to higher mortgage pricing during afternoon trading. Results will be announced at 1:00 PM ET both days, making these early afternoon events for mortgage pricing.

Medium


Unknown


Weekly Unemployment Claims (every Thursday)

Last week’s unemployment figures will be announced at 8:30 AM ET tomorrow. They are expected to show an increase in initial filings, hinting at a bit of weakness in the employment sector. Analysts are predicting 212,000 new claims, up 4,000 from the week before. The larger the number, the better the news for rates.

Float / Lock Recommendation

If I were considering financing/refinancing a home, I would.... Lock if my closing was taking place within 7 days... Lock if my closing was taking place between 8 and 20 days... Lock if my closing was taking place between 21 and 60 days... Float if my closing was taking place over 60 days from now... This is only my opinion of what I would do if I were financing a home. It is only an opinion and cannot be guaranteed to be in the best interest of all/any other borrowers.